Part 2: How new global trade routes could affect your business in 2025
Three Futures of Trade: Will You Diversify or Fragment?
William Steed
Foreign Exchange and International Trade Specialist
Home » Three Futures of Trade: Will You Diversify or Fragment?
Peering into 2035’s crystal ball of trade corridors.
Imagine three possible futures:
A baseline world, where trade grows steadily by $12 trillion as it rides economic fundamentals.
A fragmented world, where geopolitical rifts push up tariffs and wipe $3 trillion off potential trade.
A diversified world, where businesses proactively spread their supplier base, sacrificing $1 trillion in growth but gaining resilience.
Each path reshapes trade corridors. For instance, trade between advanced economies and China could dry up in a fragmented future, while emerging markets trade among themselves could flourish.
Here’s where an IBO shines: your team on the ground can help identify alternative suppliers, navigate new corridors, and ensure you’re aligned with the future, whatever it may be.